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The Belgian Navy detained the sanctioned tanker ETHERA, which had previously transported Russian petroleum products

02 March 2026
According to the Monitoring Group of the Black Sea Institute of Strategic Studies, since the start of the full‑scale war ETHERA has completed 10 voyages, moving about 460,000 tons of Russian oil products to ports in Turkey, Morocco, and Brazil, as well as to STS transfer areas near EU coasts (Greece and Cyprus). It loaded at Russian ports in the Black Sea (Novorossiysk, Taman, and an offshore STS zone south of the Kerch Strait) and in the Baltic (Primorsk, Ust‑Luga, Saint Petersburg).
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Russia's Circumvention of Sanctions to Sustain Civil Aviation in 2025: Trends and Prospects

25 February 2026
Despite Western sanctions, Russia managed to maintain operational civil aviation throughout 2025 by relying on parallel import networks in countries that did not impose sanctions restrictions. While the UAE, Turkey, and China served as primary transit hubs during 2022–2024, new enforcement measures in late 2024 prompted corresponding modifications to Russia's evasion schemes. Specifically, by 2025, India had emerged as the principal channel with documented shipments exceeding $50 million, routes through Central Asia and the Caucasus proliferated via multi-jurisdictional corporate chains, and intermediaries increasingly shifted business models and jurisdictions to evade detection. This report documents the specific trends and developments of 2025 against the baseline sanctions-evasion architecture established during 2022–2024.

Militarization of the Black Sea

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Database of Russian Attacks on Black Sea Ports Between January-December 2025

01 February 2026
Between January--December 2025, Russian military attacked the ports of Greater Odesa involved in the export corridor operation, Danube and Odesa Oblast 184 times, using no fewer than: 61 Iskander CM and BM, 5 Kh-59/Kh-69 ALCMs, 12 Kh-31P ARMs, 4 Kalibr SLCMs, 4 Oniks AShM, 2 Kh-47M2 Kinzhal ALBM, 38 GBUs, 5 USVs, 1600 strike and decoy UAVs.

Crimea Under Occupation

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Statement by the Crimea Platform Expert Network on the occasion of the Fifth Summit of the Crimea Platform

24 September 2025
From 2022 on, in the context of full-scale war, the issues of Ukraine's temporarily occupied territories shall not be considered selectively. All occupied regions — including the Autonomous Republic of Crimea, the city of Sevastopol, and parts of the Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia regions — are parts of a single space of armed aggression, large-scale and systematic human rights violations, and international crimes by the Russian Federation, and shall be the subject of a sole negotiation and strategic track. Any separate discussions on the “specific” status of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea and the city of Sevastopol or the Black Sea-Azov region carry the risks of fragmenting international solidarity and play into the Russian Federation’s approach of “special cases,” which is unacceptable for the international security and legal order system.